The next Hall of Fame vote could be a fruitless one for the Baseball Writers. This year we had three men, Roberto Alomar, Bert Blyleven and Pat Gillick inducted into Cooperstown but next year there might not be a single player from the writer’s ballot to make the Hall. With a weak crop of first-timers, the holdovers will get more attention: men like Barry Larkin, Jack Morris, Jeff Bagwell, Tim Raines and Lee Smith. The following is a grouping of the 2012 Hall of Fame ballot first-timers.
Edgardo Alfonzo, Pedro Astacio, David Bell, Jeromy Burnitz, Vinny Castilla, Scott Erickson, Carl Everett, Jeff Fassero, Alex S. Gonzalez, Danny Graves, Rick Helling, Dustin Hermanson, Jose Hernandez, Brian Jordan, Matt Lawton, Javy Lopez, Bill Mueller, Terry Mulholland, Jeff Nelson, Phil Nevin, Brad Radke, Joe Randa, Tim Salmon, Ruben Sierra, Jose Vizcaino, Bernie Williams and Eric Young.
Many of these former players are bound to receive 0% of the vote–some may get a courtesy vote from writer friends, but don’t expect many to be retained for the 2013 ballot. It wouldn’t be a shock if Bernie Williams is the only man from the above list to get the necessary 5% of the vote for retention. Of the above group, I wouldn’t elect any and only suspect Williams to remain on the ballot for 2013. Vinny Castilla may get five percent, Sierra, Salmon and Young are long shots for five percent and the others will almost certainly fail to receive five percent. That being said, next year will be the year for holdovers because the 2013 ballot will boast such first-timers as Craig Biggio, Barry Bonds, Roger Clemens, Steve Finley, Kenny Lofton, Mike Piazza, Curt Schilling, and Sammy Sosa–players superior to any of the first-timers for 2012.